Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 117.574695 134.815490 154.618164 179.252660 209.366387 245.361482 2.922257e+02
2025-05-18 92.070403 113.109864 139.676227 176.418983 227.137916 296.625275 4.026881e+02
2025-05-25 79.172196 101.829531 132.340067 177.832639 246.577432 351.444233 5.344941e+02
2025-06-01 69.932726 93.092910 125.846879 177.658040 261.950007 402.881196 6.806685e+02
2025-06-08 62.413338 85.352716 119.080543 175.060540 271.952987 447.431311 8.342122e+02
2025-06-15 58.723940 82.511049 118.894321 182.376915 299.779100 532.136968 1.116075e+03
2025-06-22 52.596301 75.178433 110.601350 174.453483 297.876562 557.580416 1.275500e+03
2025-06-29 48.759859 70.951898 106.698773 173.414156 308.737361 613.731257 1.556787e+03
2025-07-06 45.603693 67.454383 103.523519 173.069203 320.788732 677.057016 1.914500e+03
2025-07-13 44.439606 67.059595 105.540922 182.826395 356.976587 816.488607 2.697532e+03
2025-07-20 43.769993 67.393993 108.835056 195.661978 404.026548 1011.551881 4.042848e+03
2025-07-27 41.298634 64.377734 105.635603 194.399681 416.180237 1107.182892 5.080628e+03
2025-08-03 39.179516 61.994828 103.733527 196.525502 440.483376 1269.373091 7.090072e+03
2025-08-10 36.621555 58.631584 99.637937 193.226704 449.733834 1387.554718 9.304223e+03
2025-08-17 34.855031 56.544618 97.795785 194.817454 473.981408 1589.364009 1.361610e+04
2025-08-24 33.096135 54.310375 95.391323 194.620256 492.960162 1788.487817 1.983490e+04
2025-08-31 31.263619 51.784107 92.111766 191.690138 502.361609 1952.938989 2.786204e+04
2025-09-07 30.550677 51.335605 93.126720 199.947729 553.571706 2417.641286 5.647982e+04
2025-09-14 28.517173 48.160587 87.975596 191.005594 539.487211 2462.145358 7.130856e+04
2025-09-21 27.254075 46.418438 85.792785 189.833823 554.982328 2738.708299 1.221694e+05
2025-09-28 26.150422 44.914627 83.992037 189.444973 573.822671 3077.952571 2.392113e+05
2025-10-05 25.904106 45.115288 86.035776 200.455469 645.669038 4034.688058 1.338513e+06
2025-10-12 25.846614 45.693739 89.013692 214.975644 742.838316 5604.387326 2.108745e+08